Table 1 Parameters used in the baseline model

Unit operation Variables Description Unit Formula Reference
Retail P Prevalence of Salmonella at retail Pert(22.4, 31.65, 42.3) (Chung et al., 2003; Hyeon et al., 2011; Kim et al., 2012)
COSC Contamination of chicken with Salmonella at retail Discrete([0, 1], [100–P, P])
TeR Temperature of chicken at retail 4 (WHO, 2002)
LCSC Log concentration of Salmonella at retail Log(CFU/g) Pert(4.3, 5.3, 6.3) (Hong et al., 2008)
CSC Concentration of Salmonella at retail CFU/g 10^LCSC
CCH Concentration of chlorination ppm 0
λ Parameter of Salmonella reduction effect 1
ORE Contamination level at retail CFU/g IF(COSC=0, 0, CSC×λ)
Transport TiT Transport and shopping time h Pert(17/60, 26/60, 35/60)+Pert(0.5, 0.75, 1) (Trendmonitor, 2018)
TeT Ambient temperature Pert(min, median, max) (Korea Meteorological Administration, 2018)
TeTR Chicken temperature after transport IF(exp(TiT)–1+TeR>TeT, TeT, exp(TiT)–1+TeR)
AvTeTR Average temperature between retail and after transport Average(TeR, TeTR)
TIAMTR Time when chicken temperature reaches ambient temperature h LOG(TeT, exp(1))
LT Lag time of Salmonella h 1/(0.02082×AvTeTR–0.01235)2 (Oscar, 2005)
GRRETR Growth rate of Salmonella between retail and transport before chicken reaches ambient temperature Log(CFU/g/h) IF(AvTeTR>TeT, 0.0019×(AvTeTR–3.35)^2×(1–exp(0.29×(AvTeTR–48.01))), 0) (Juneja et al., 2007)
GRAMTR Growth rate of Salmonella at ambient temperature during transport Log(CFU/g/h) 0.0019×(TeT–3.35)^2×(1–exp(0.29× (TeT–48.01))) (Juneja et al., 2007)
MPD Maximum population density Log(CFU/g) 9.5 (Silva et al., 2009)
GS Growth of Salmonella Log(CFU/g) IF(TIT<TIAMTR, GRRETR×TiT, GRRETR×TIAMTR+GRAMTR×(TiT–TIAMTR))
OTR Contamination level after transport CFU/g IF(ORE+exp(GS)<exp(MPD), ORE+exp(GS), exp(MPD))
Cooking TeC Cooking temperature Pert(71×0.8, 71, 71×1.2) (Song et al., 2014)
TiC Cooking time min Pert(10, 15, 20) (Lee et al., 2011)
D D-value min 10^(8.7344–(0.1316×TeC)) (Murphy et al., 2002)
LCR Log cycle reduction - TiC/D
OC Contamination level after cooking CFU/g (10^(–LCR))×OTR
Consumption CW Consumption weight g Pert(100, 200, 300) (Fatsecret, 2018)
Dose Amount of Salmonella consumed CFU OC×CW
PILL Probability of illness IF(P=0, 0, (1– (1+10^Dose/2885)^ (–0.3126))) (WHO, 2002)